17.00 Utt - Billy's Prev
Race Analysis and Tissue Prices. COLLEGE ACE 10/1 – Has not been finishing his races with great enthusiasm of late. Handicapper starting to relent but needs to show a bit more spark. Vulnerable off top weight here. MR FLUFFY 12/1 – Starting to look well handicapped but needs to step up on recent efforts to take this despite a drop in class. SUPERROLLERCOASTER 16/1 – Can look good at a low level but has 3 dismal runs to put behind him after winning at Folkestone in December and cannot be supported unless the market strongly suggests otherwise. HEART STRINGS 12/1 – Had a good spell last year over hurdles. Taken reasonably well to fences and chances on form but does not look overly well handicapped and has a big weight to carry for a mare. THORSGILL 12/1 – Has had his problems and been difficult to train but has a reasonable chance on his form. Would like to have seen a professional jockey on board though. RANDOLPH O BRIEN 8/1 - Has ability but his jumping is cause for concern as he often makes several blunders during his races. Good chance with a fluent round but that is a big uncertainty. YA I KNOW 18/1 – Looked very moderate and his second last time out amounts to little. Not impossible he can improve but certainly needs to if he is to take home the prize today. MOUSTIQUE DE L’ISLE 18/1 – Small stable does well with staying chasers but this fellow may need the heavens to open if he is to win. Well handicapped but broke a blood vessel last time and that has to be a concern. EARNEST 14/1 – Lightly raced and may have improvement left. Did win a staying hurdle last year but ran a stinker when last seen out in June. Presumably excuses for that as not seen out since. Market may provide a clue as to what is expected today. HISTORY MASTER 11/1 – Bounced back after a nasty fall at Plumpton to run second over hurdles. Reasonable chance if jumping well back over the bigger obstacles and ground may suit. RETURN HOME 5/1 – Consistent sort who has been given a real chance by the handicapper. Unexposed over 3m+ and has looked as though he would find some improvement for it. Ran a rare poor race last time but looks to have a favourites chance here. CASTLEMORE 20/1 – Put up a woeful display at Fontwell last time and is basically slow. Likely to find a few too quick for him around here. CLASSIC ROCK 25/1 – Has shown some ability but is another with a touch of the slows. May find it hard to keep in touch around here and although he should be staying on, will possibly find one or two to beat him. GUMLEY GALE 16/1 – Is getting on in years now but showed he was no back number when winning nicely last October. Could easily run well from this mark but has not shone at this course on 3 previous visits. GOOD MAN AGAIN 50/1 – Has ran above himself on more than one occasion but more often that not fails to finish. Shown nothing this year and cannot be supported with confidence despite tumbling mark. SUMMARY – RETURN HOME is on a losing run but has run consistently well and I think he is handicapped to go very well over a trip that ought to suit. Dangers aplenty but HISTORY MASTER makes some each way appeal and THORSGILL has the ability to go well if fit on return from another break.
|